Isn’t this the same as (say) compelling people to gamble with their money just “to keep it moving” ?

The investment strike is one the government would do well to bust
The private sector’s refusal to invest ensures that household and business suffer inflation, while the economy stagnates

The British economic slump has now lasted four years, and output is still 4.5% below the previous peak level. The decline in gross fixed capital formation accounts for nearly 80% of the fall in output. The slump is driven by an investment strike, that is, a refusal by the private sector to invest. As a result, a cut in interest rates is unlikely to have any material effect. Firms are saving, not borrowing.

The investment strike has also curbed growth in key sectors. The pound fell by around 30% in 2008 and has recovered only a proportion of that ground since. Yet exports have barely risen in the intervening period. In a cautionary tale for all those advocating currency devaluation as a panacea, the performance of the British economy shows that the positive impact has been negligible. Instead, the decline in imports has been three times greater than the rise in exports. The improvement in net exports (exports minus imports) is because British consumers and British firms have simply been priced out of world markets.

etc, etc… “You simply must have a flutter, for the good of the nation.”

The investment strike is one the government would do well to bust | Michael Burke | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk.

Comments

One response to “Isn’t this the same as (say) compelling people to gamble with their money just “to keep it moving” ?”

  1. Some are arguing what we are seeing is a liquidity trap.

    Samuel Brittan has previously suggested in such a situation he was prefer short term cut to consumer taxes as a stimulant. I suspect it would need to be targeted to stimulate the UK economy (i.e. concern money largely spent in the UK rather than say spent on smartphones, or other goods where the money largely flows out of the economy), or co-ordinated (across the world).

    I suspect what is needed is a wide selection of measures. What is clear that lowering interest rates, and the level of quantitative easing done so far, haven’t worked. Whether this means they are the wrong solution, or just not done enough is I guess the trillion dollar question.

    I suspect part of the issue is that the coalition is still pursuing a reduction in civil service head count, which whilst it may be right long term is shedding public sector jobs at a rate similar to the rate the private sector can create them.

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