Michael Bloomberg has dedicated $220 million to the fight against tobacco, making a total of $600 million in his lifetime; to the BBC’s “World At One” he made the following point:
About half of the world’s smokers are in Russia, China, India, Bangladesh and Indonesia. (39m mark)
I heard that and thought: Let’s add that up
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
- Russia – 143,030,106
- China – 1,347,350,000
- India – 1,210,193,422
- Bangladesh – 142,319,000
- Indonesia – 237,641,326
Total Population Above: 3,080,533,854
World Population: 7,002,000,000
Percentage: 44% (approx)
…so we’d expect that perhaps 44% of the world’s smokers would be in those five countries – assuming smoking is evenly distributed – and if it’s closer to 50% then there’s a slight uptick in the rates of smoking in those countries; an extra 13% or so.
I don’t know if that 13% is statistically significant, I can’t be arsed to do the math. In any case, 44% probably qualifies as “about half”.
But it would not sound quite so philanthropic to say I am injecting money into five huge and famously corrupt countries in the expectation of getting (say) 13% of their smokers to quit… or something like that.
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